Win Rate
The percentage of trades that are profitable out of total trades taken.
Explained Simply
Win rate alone doesn't determine profitability — it must be paired with risk/reward ratio. A 30% win rate with a 1:5 R:R is more profitable than a 70% win rate with a 1:0.3 R:R. Scalpers and mean reversion traders tend to have high win rates (60-80%) with small wins. Trend followers tend to have low win rates (30-40%) with large wins. Neither is inherently better — what matters is positive expected value.
How Tradewink Uses Win Rate
The LearningEngine tracks win rate by signal type, market regime, and ticker category. Win rates feed into the Kelly Criterion position sizer and the AI confidence calibrator. If a signal type's win rate drops below its historical average, the system automatically reduces conviction scores and position sizes until performance recovers.
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See Win Rate in action
Tradewink uses win rate as part of its AI trading signal pipeline. Start getting signals that use this concept to find real opportunities.